But Tony, no poll has yet shown Santorum in the lead in Iowa and guru of election predictions Nate Silver, currently has him pegged at just a 21% chance to win, behind both Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, why would you be predicting a Santorum win?
Momentum: Rick Santorum is the only candidate with any right now. The table below is the difference in support between the two most recent PPP polls of Iowa; the most recent being released yesterday and the previous one being released on the 27th of December, only five days earlier.
Likability: Iowa Republicans simply like Santorum better than everyone else, look at the candidates net favorabilty from the most recent PPP poll:
Second Choice: Of the front runners, Rick Santorum is the most popular second choice. Again from that PPP poll these are how the candidates fare on the second choice question.
But this could still end up being worth a little bit to Santorum on the margins.
Conclution: This combination of factors has convinced me that Rick Santorum, despite never leading in a single poll in Iowa all cycle, and despite his rather epic google problem will win the Iowa caucus's tomorrow and become the official, Iowa certified, not-Romney.